Probability of getting caught using p2p?

Question

What is the probability of getting caught using bittorrent and peerguardian by downloading ~1 movie, 10 songs, and 5 keygens everyday?

Answer 1

Infinitesimally small.



Zero.

Answer 2

bittorrent and p2p networks reveal IP pools. Rapidshare client IP adresses are in databases that would have to be raided by the feds. The only exception is I2P which few people use. It uses encryption and tunneling automatically to hide node details. It's been around a while but only the smarter pirates use it.

Answer 3

Depends on who is looking.



If you try P2P at your place of employment that outlaws peer to peer, you chances of getting caught at very high.



Movie studios will check what you offer for download and send form letters to your ISP demanding action from them. They come in in bulk. Since peer to peer only works if enough people offer parts of what they download (at least while they are downloading) it's typically not possible not to offer things you are downlaoding (or have downloaded).



Don't break the law. If you think the law is wrong, write to the politicians representing you that they need to change the law.

Answer 4

I'd say you have a far greater chance getting caught by downloading movies than mp3s, I think the RIAA has given up, piracy is just such a widespread thing that the industry is having to pick and choose it's battles -- and they would choose a $50 million blockbuster movie over a $17 CD.

Answer 5

It's always a risk. Using PG2 will help alot. I'd use their 5 lists and all the Bluetack lists as well. All the lists gives me over 3 BILLION IPs blocked! You can always use a proxy when you're on P2P as well to beef up the security factor.

Answer 6

When they catch you they take away your PC and ban you from techonology for 1000 days. No digital watches, no CDs, no doorbell....nothing! Sometimes they make you eat binary. The zeros are ok but the ones are pointy and cut your throat! Also, if you use an apple you may have to re-fruit your whole machine!

Answer 7

you've a 50/50 chance of getting caught.



either they're watching who's downloading those particular files or they're not. you either get caught or you don't, and if you do will everyone who says 'you have very little chance of getting caught' all send you cash to help with the hefty fine? i doubt it somehow.



the reality of the matter is people DO get caught, not just people downloading 30 films a day, i'm talking about everyday people using insecure peer to peer filesharing programs.



if you knowingly break the law that's the chance you take, whether you consider it to be worth the potential consequences or not is entirely up to you.



on a sidenote, smilelifeisanadventure's answer is rather odd, which individual pays $17 for a cd then pays $50 million to go and see a film? the net sales value of a music album from the hundreds of thousands of people who buy it generally adds up to a *little* more than $17 in total sales - that figure will also run into the millions otherwise 50 cent wouldn't be wearing all that 'ice'.



how naive can people be? if *i* can easily see your IP address when you're downloading a file you shouldn't be why wouldn't someone like the mpaa or riaa with disposable cash for automated logging systems be able to?



fool yourselves as much as you like people but if you get busted cos you don't consider it illegal just don't sob like a lil biatch lol

Answer 8

Very little. The people who usually get caught are the ones who have thousands of songs that they let other people download

Answer 9

Hey there,

My favourite p2p program is Emule. If you don't use it yet here is a free link http://j.mp/1Ayn4YQ

I hope it helps

Answer 10

A lot higher considering you just posted it on a huge website with a email that probably has your personal information because your not smart enough to put a false name down on it good luck

Answer 11

100%



Since you advertised to the world what you intend to do. Don't you know that your ISP knows every single thing you do on the net?...and that those records can be subpoenaed for law enforcement purposes?



Check out:



http://p2pnet.net/index.php



Be double sure to go through their archives and find a LOT of info on the RIAA/MPAA, etc.



Interesting reading here:



http://techdirt.com/articles/20061031/192204.shtml



And you can always go directly to the horse's mouth for more information:



http://www.riaa.com/default.asp

Answer 12

very little, the people who get caught download 1000's of songs every day

Answer 13

not likely... depends on the program and the number of users... the gov't has much better things to do than sit around prosecuting e-criminals, we are at war.

Answer 14

It is ILLEGAL and you know it. You will get "caught" eventually. Maybe not in this life, but you will have to answer for everything on the last day.



If you know it is wrong and commit the sin, it is even WORSE than never knowing it was wrong.



You do the math.



Where does you salvation lie?

Answer 15

unlikely, just to see if i can get caught i download tons of illegal crap just for the attention